No global warming: in fact, Earth
Thursday, June 12, 2008
article interesting ... to know who is telling the truth.
La Vanguardia 
J. Scott Armstrong, founder of the Journal of Forecasting "; climaescéptico " No global warming: in fact, the Earth cools " LLUÍS Amiguet - 09/06/2008
I have 71 years and I'm investigating at the Wharton School. I have two children and two grandchildren. I am one of the founders of the science of prediction, climate change is a pure pipe dream. Politicians invent and use chimeras to increase their power. God does not interest me
Apocalypse ... No!
often the worst enemies of a cause are some of its supporters. It is clear that development has degraded fool our ecosystem and our quality of life and puts us in danger. But with thoughtful environmentalists trying to stop this deterioration, also proliferate and hysteria unspeakable interests concerned. We welcome it because the debate of climaescépticos - branded as "deniers" by climacrédulos-.Yo not know who knows, but Armstrong is entitled to explain, like Al Gore, whom I interviewed in The Counter (17 / X / 2006). At IESE, Armstrong says he knows he does not know what temperature will in the future, and that is to know a lot.
What glaciers melt? What the North Pole melts? What global temperature rises because of CO 2 and the greenhouse effect ...? We spent thousands
of millions to avoid it. Wellis false. Interested falsehood, because thousands of bureaucrats and politicians live to convince us that the world is in danger and they need them and their salaries to save. That is false only you say. Check : there is no solid evidence that the Earth is warming. In fact, the temperature of the planet is cooling since 1998 as it has demonstrated the scientist Robert Carter and Christopher Monckton sign and other skeptics.
are only two opinions regarding global consensus: the UN, EU, science.Manhattan In the statement were more of 500 scientists who reject the public hysteria about the climate, which has no solid evidence on which to rely, and Arthur Robinson has already achieved 31,000 signatures of many other scientists and technicians who doubt the much ballyhooed warming. is another point of view, simply. I will give facts demonstrated: in Antarctica there is more ice now than in the past century, no excess CO2 in the atmosphere and have tried for the government of Alaska polar bear population is actually ..., increasing ! I've uploaded the Aneto and the glacier is disappearing, as the Alps. are regional phenomena. There are cycles in a given region of the world where rising temperatures and simultaneously in other regions there is another cycle that are falling, which is exactly what is happening now in Antarctica: the coldest in recent years than ever. That's it.
Intergovernmental Report on Climate Change (IPCC) 2007, sponsored by the UN, predicted increases in global temperatures over the next 92 years that would threaten the ecosystem.That's exactly what I can question properly, I am expert predictions. And question the predictive rigor of that report. Is incorrect: using predictive models, adorned with free math that are just guesses. Not really surprising results, but all seem to accept without question and implement policies that are expensive and unnecessary to address them. The UN says: "I believe you? Indeed, the report of the UN is more politics than science. Think of the technocrats and political power gives them the existence of this alleged threat: more power and budget and taxes. Now take note: of the 50 references in Chapter 8, no prediction is insolvent. what basis? 48 years I've been studying science of prediction and I co-founded the Journal of Forecasting. Supposedly scientific predictions of the report are as successful as they could do either. What is yours? I bet $ 10,000 with Al Gore - that donate to the NGOs chosen by the winner-to more accurately predicted that the temperatures for the next ten years.
What is your method? Repeattemperatures every year. If you know the trend - and convince yourself that nobody knows, who knows the temperature will be in Barcelona in ten years! - Least risky is to repeat the temperature of the previous year, each year, the oscillation will be less than If you use the outcome of any prediction model. What does Al Gore? I replied. Have you seen his movie? Corny, boring, egotistical and full of falsehoods. I only ask that anyone accept mere conjecture as strong principles. The data offer 1,056 pages of IPCC does not provide scientific certainties: carefully audited prediction procedures and all I found were mere opinions ... Reviews! Scientists adorned with math free. What about polar bears? is another example of how the simpleton and vested interests about false environmentalism, which many grants and seeks excellent salaries, has no scientific basis. Alaska's government asked me to audit the prediction of the evolution of the polar bear population ..., and has actually increased! If the ice melts in which they live ... See? Again, are you predicting the unpredictable! Who knows whether or not the ice melt the Arctic! I told you that the fact today is that the Antarctic is cooling year after year and which is becoming more ice cream ... then there is no global warming trend! What trend planet exist? do not know, nobody knows. It is impossible to predict. In some regions like the Antarctic cold temperatures and others such as the Arctic is warming. That's it. Do you collect money from oil? There are other interests besides the oil companies. I've only collected $ 3,000 from the Alaska government to demonstrate that the polar bear population is high compared to historical averages.
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